Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.110129 1.259231 1.421788 1.612308 1.829667 2.070131 2.356628
2026-01-11 0.891873 1.097041 1.340182 1.650207 2.035950 2.501340 3.107306
2026-01-18 0.757148 0.984643 1.270196 1.656226 2.166512 2.820796 3.727943
2026-01-25 0.652066 0.886904 1.195686 1.633414 2.241322 3.060625 4.256887
2026-02-01 0.566902 0.801218 1.121811 1.595224 2.281316 3.246811 4.721476
2026-02-08 0.498461 0.728807 1.055270 1.555186 2.307768 3.408600 5.159459
2026-02-15 0.457085 0.689545 1.029898 1.568919 2.409552 3.684305 5.790049
2026-02-22 0.416892 0.647136 0.994422 1.561663 2.475527 3.908172 6.359178
2026-03-01 0.379387 0.604657 0.953917 1.540945 2.515691 4.091868 6.878296
2026-03-08 0.338577 0.552800 0.893413 1.481159 2.484631 4.154337 7.197085
2026-03-15 0.313857 0.524599 0.867988 1.475913 2.542435 4.367460 7.793882
2026-03-22 0.302193 0.516894 0.875285 1.526038 2.698826 4.762229 8.752804
2026-03-29 0.274847 0.482434 0.838466 1.503609 2.739247 4.982569 9.469422
2026-04-05 0.258717 0.466532 0.833181 1.538894 2.892304 5.431988 10.695116
2026-04-12 0.240138 0.444045 0.813418 1.544488 2.989019 5.785227 11.777264
2026-04-19 0.220120 0.416699 0.781703 1.523281 3.030303 6.034175 12.678283
2026-04-26 0.200617 0.388282 0.744953 1.487777 3.038075 6.215455 13.458735
2026-05-03 0.183079 0.361901 0.709420 1.450551 3.037339 6.377732 14.217504
2026-05-10 0.172782 0.348880 0.698861 1.463320 3.142884 6.775792 15.558000
2026-05-17 0.161455 0.332625 0.680116 1.456574 3.204936 7.085711 16.736098
2026-05-24 0.150000 0.314997 0.656802 1.437309 3.236608 7.330703 17.792067
2026-05-31 0.136379 0.291498 0.618907 1.381715 3.178997 7.363841 18.331369
2026-06-07 0.128307 0.279275 0.604127 1.376837 3.238989 7.679653 19.627806